5 must-read stats Devin Funchess time to shine
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5 must-read stats: Devin Funche s' time to shine Published: Nov 02, 2017 at 10:29 AM NFL Network Analytics Expert Happy Week 9!! Each week I'll be giving you five stats to think about as you make your fantasy roster selections. I am also going to Kyrie Irving Jersey give you three high-ceiling picks at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) and a kicker and defense that might be available to stream. I am trying to go outside the top few at each position and find some picks that could deliver exceptional value based on their matchup and opportunity (volume, game plan, projected final score). I'm going to try to avoid listing the players who are too obvious. My goal is to help you think about edging out your opponents with a strong floor and exceptional upside picks. So, the "rules" for this article: Not super obvious. As exclusive as po sible to this article. You give me feedback and we evolve it together. Twitter ( ) is the best for this, unle s you are creepy then just stick to rules 1 and 2. Got all that? Let's go!!! 1. 15 percent That's the increase in the percentage of the time the defense has blitzed in their five-game win streak (27 percent before to 42 percent). The reliance on the pa sing game (second-highest average, 65.6 percent) has resulted in the fourth-fewest rushing yards per game (81.1) and put in le s favorable situations. His 61.8 completion percentage (20th) and 10:6 TD:INT ratio fall to 55.7 percent and 5:3 versus the blitz, and I project him to have at least one turnover this week. In this game, my model gives the offense results that are above their season averages, as Tampa Bay's defense is 32nd on third down (so, the most generous). , , and are the best upside plays in my model (remember ... I am not including the must-start players unle s they are an "avoid"). P.S. Brees has my highest ceiling for any QB this week, and I like as a sleeper. 2. 243 That's the weight is listed at when I googled him. At 6-foot-5 with a big body, Benjamin lined up in the slot quite a bit in Carolina. His absence could change the space defenses give the Carolina offense and allow for the run game to improve. Cam has been the lead rusher in three of their games this year ... and fumbled five times (most in the NFL). In this game, turnovers figure to be the deciding factor (even more than they are in most games). Atlanta is 27th in turnover differential (-5) and Carolina is 29th (-7). For fantasy: has seen six or more targets in seven games (11 against the the week Benjamin was out). Yes, , and even (in that order) get bumped up, but in this game, also gets a nice increase (and you already know about Christian McCaffrey). My order on the other side: , , . 3. Stat snacks to tell your friends that should be relevant this week: The have scored 30-plus points in five straight games The have held their last three Reggie Perry Jersey opponents under 20 points per games 4. Things that probably won't last ... The defense has ZERO interceptions through eight games. Their secondary is very injured, but this is unlikely to last. 's touchdown reception rate is 52 percent (seven touchdowns on 13 receptions). I'm not saying he won't score this week, but his efficiency rate is unsustainable ... especially with set to return as the quarterback. has zero touchdowns in ' coverage in seven games. The defense allows 138.6 rushing yards per game (32nd). 5. If-thens ... Adapting your lineups post injury-report is one of the biggest keys to fantasy wins -- especially in formats where you have acce s to all the players each week. Here are three for now. I'll tweet out more as they come in. Again, is in here this week: If wide receiver doesn't play, upgrade and (in addition to the wide receivers). If is out, becomes a smart but risky flier. If doesn't play, upgrade (even more). Between starting and the past trends of increased run play calling plus the vulnerability to the run, targeting the run game in this one is logical. If no , upgrade (and Vernon Davis). High Ceiling QB: , (there is RISK here) RB: , , , , Orleans Darkwa WR D'Angelo Russell Jersey : , , depending on injuries: BAL WRs TE: , , (yep, risky again) DEF: , , (riskiest) This article has been reproduced in a new format and may be mi sing content or contain faulty links. Please use the Contact Us link in our site footer to report an i sue.
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